The Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project team is predicting 19 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.
Researchers at CSU predict nine of the storms to become hurricanes and four to reach major hurricane strength with sustained winds of 111 miles per hour or greater.
The researchers also predictthe probability of major hurricanes making landfall:
- 71% for the entire U.S. coastline (average for the last century is 52%)
- 47% for the U.S. East Coast including the Florida peninsula (average for the last century is 31%)
- 46% for the Gulf Coast from the Florida panhandle westward to Brownsville (average for the last century is 30%)
- 60% for the Caribbean (average for the last century is 42%)
The CSU forecast is intended to provide a best estimate of activity in the Atlantic during the upcoming season – not an exact measure.
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